Insights

KR Decarbonization Magazine

VOL.10 | JUNE 2025

IMO Net-Zero Framework:
A New Paradigm for the Shipping Industry

HA Seungman Principal Surveyor of KR Machinery Rule Development Team

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The international shipping industry is at a critical juncture as it faces mounting pressure to address climate change and transition to a low-carbon future. The adoption of mid-term GHG reduction measures — including a GHG pricing mechanism — at the 83rd session of the International Maritime Organization’s Marine Environment Protection Committee (MEPC 83) in April has helped resolve a significant portion of the regulatory uncertainty that has long delayed new ship orders and hindered the selection of alternative fuels.

These measures are set to enter into force in 2027 and will be fully implemented starting in 2028, applying to large ocean-going ships over 5,000 gross tonnage. This marks a critical milestone as the regulations will be enforced based on GHG Fuel Intensity (gCO2eq/MJ), fundamentally changing the landscape for international shipping.

Notably, this new framework represents a significant departure from the traditional Single-Target Approach, introducing a Two-Tier Approach consisting of a Base Target and a Direct Compliance Target. This structure not only focuses on reducing GHG emissions but also creates a direct financial incentive for emission reductions, rewarding ships that achieve ambitious targets while imposing penalties or taxes on those that fall short.

Conceptual Diagram of the IMO Net-Zero Framework (left) and
Correlation Between Fuel Prices and Compensation (right)

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Operational Mechanism of the IMO Net-Zero Framework

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① Base Target

· Ships that exceed the Base Target should either pay USD 380 per tonne of excess CO2eq(Tier 2 RU* price) or purchase Surplus Units (SUs**) at market prices to offset their emissions and comply with the Base Target.
*RU(Remedial Unit) : A non-transferable unit (tCO2eq) that may be obtained through the IMO Registry when a ship fails to meet the Base Target.
**SU(Surplus Unit) : A transferable unit (tCO2eq) granted to ships that exceed their Direct Compliance Target.

② Direct Compliance Target

· For emissions that fall between the Base Target and the Direct Compliance Target, USD 100 per tonne of excess CO2eq (Tier 1 RU price) is imposed. This amount is allocated to the IMO Net Zero Fund and is considered as meeting the Direct Compliance Target.

③ Utilization of the IMO Net-Zero Fund

· The revenues collected from items ①and ②above are pooled into the IMO Net-Zero Fund. This fund is used for a variety of purposes, including rewarding Zero or Near-Zero (ZNZ) fuels and supporting just transition initiatives in developing countries.

④ Incentive Structure

· Ships that meet the Direct Compliance Target can gain additional economic benefits by selling their surplus units (SUs) at market prices to ships that exceed the Base Target.
· Vessels using Zero or Near-Zero (ZNZ) fuels can receive additional rewards, providing further economic incentives for deeper decarbonization efforts.


This framework highlights that the focus of GHG regulations is no longer limited to fuel choice alone but now includes the overall energy efficiency of the ship itself as a critical component. Notably, under the stricter targets, ships will be required to reduce their GHG fuel intensity by 43% by 2035 and by 65% by 2040, reflecting increasingly ambitious reduction goals.

This shift represents a fundamental change for the maritime industry, requiring rapid and significant fleet renewal and innovative fleet management strategies to meet these aggressive decarbonization targets.

As illustrated in the figure below, ships that continue to use Very Low Sulfur Fuel Oil (VLSFO), which is considered, in this analysis, to have a GHG Fuel Intensity (GFI) of 95.5 gCO2eq/MJ , are likely to face substantial compliance costs. By 2028, these costs are projected to reach maximum USD 140 per ton of fuel, and by 2050, they could exceed USD 1,400 per tonne.

The term “maximum” refers to the upper bound of potential costs incurred when a ship fails to meet its GHG reduction targets, requiring the purchase of Remedial Units (RUs) at the Tier 2 price of USD 380 per tonne of CO2eq, or alternatively, the equivalent market price of Surplus Units (SUs), also assumed to be USD 380 per tonne.


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Additionally, even when using the same Heavy Fuel Oil (HFO), significant differences in energy efficiency exist between older and newer vessels, leading to substantial variations in compliance costs. According to the IMO's mid-term measures impact assessment, ships built after 2025 are, on average, 25-32% more fuel-efficient than those built before 2015, resulting in proportionately lower annual GHG emissions.

This efficiency gap is reflected in the compliance calculations outlined in the Regulation 36 amendment of the IMO Net-Zero Framework, as approved at MEPC 83:


Annual Compliance Balance =
(Required Annual GHG Intensity - Attained Annual GHG Intensity) × Total Energy Used


The Annual Compliance Balance is a critical metric that measures how far a vessel deviates from its regulatory target, expressed in tonnes of CO2eq.

As it is based on the ship’s annual energy use — calculated as the product of fuel consumption and its lower heating value (LHV) — the higher the energy consumption, the greater the resulting compliance cost.

This is because the final compliance cost is determined by multiplying the CO2eq. amount calculated from the annual Compliance Balance by either USD 380/tonne CO2eq, USD 100/tonne CO2eq, or the prevailing price of Surplus Units (SUs) per tonne of CO2eq.

This means that simply choosing low-carbon fuels is not sufficient for compliance. Ships should also optimize their overall energy efficiency to minimize both short-term fuel costs and long-term regulatory compliance expenses. In other words, both reducing the attained GHG intensity through the use of Zero or Near-Zero emission fuels and improving vessel design are essential not only for immediate cost savings, but also for maintaining long-term competitiveness under regulatory compliance costs.

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The Needs for Familiarization with Marginal Abatement Costs (MAC)

The IMO Net-Zero Framework requires not only emission reductions but also strategic decision-making on the most cost-effective pathways to regulatory compliance. A critical concept in this process is the Marginal Abatement Cost (MAC), which represents the cost of reducing one additional tonne of CO2eq. through a specific mitigation measure.

Under the current IMO framework, the cost of compliance varies depending on the GHG intensity of the fuel used:


· Tier 1: 100 USD per tonne of CO2eq

· Tier 2: 380 USD per tonne of CO2eq

· Surplus Unit (SU) Prices: Expected to fluctuate within this range, depending on evolving market conditions and the supply-demand balance.


However, it remains uncertain whether these regulatory costs are sufficient to encourage widespread adoption of Zero or Near-Zero (ZNZ) fuels, such as e-Fuels, given their higher production costs.

According to a 2022 study by MIT, the Marginal Abatement Cost (MAC) of replacing fossil fuels with renewable e-fuels ranged from USD 599 to 1,520 per tonne of CO₂eq as of 2020. However, the study projected that with active investment and technological advancement by governments and industry, this cost could decline to USD 57 to 557 per tonne of CO2eq by 2050. However, this remains higher than the regulatory costs under both Tier 1 and Tier 2, suggesting that a transition to e-fuels may not be economically viable based on current compliance cost levels alone.

The IMO's Net-Zero Framework was adopted through a two-tier approach as a result of compromise among Member States amid diverse proposals and competing interests. This structure requires continuous monitoring of the impact these regulatory costs have on the global shipping market. In particular, shipping companies should carefully assess whether the carbon price or financial rewards set by the IMO adequately compensate for the Marginal Abatement Costs (MAC) associated with different fuel types. Additionally, the evolving dynamics of the fuel supply market will play a critical role in shaping these strategic decisions.

Ultimately, the relevant stakeholders such as shipping companies should make strategic choices about whether it is more cost-effective to switch to alternative fuels or simply pay the associated compliance costs. To make this decision, several scenarios should be carefully considered:


· Meeting the Base Target: If a ship fails to meet the Base Target, it will be subject to both Tier 1 (USD 100/tCO2eq.) and Tier 2 (USD 380/tCO2eq.) compliance costs. Alternatively, ships may choose to meet the Base Target to avoid paying the higher Tier 2 price.

· Exceeding the Direct Compliance Target:Ships that can achieve or surpass the Direct Compliance Target may be able to avoid both Tier 1 and Tier 2 charges entirely. Alternatively, they may choose to exceed these targets further, potentially earning additional financial rewards or surplus units (SUs) that can be sold on the market.


Case Study : Bio Fuel

The following table provides an example of whether it is more advantageous to meet the Base Target or the Direct Compliance Target when using biofuels. This analysis was conducted based on fuel prices in Singapore as of April 2025 and the GHG intensity of Used Cooking Oil Methyl Ester (UCOME), as shown in the table below. VLSFO is included as a typical fossil fuel benchmark, while B30 and B100 represent alternative biofuels with different blending ratios.

Fuel type Price (USD/ton) LHV (MJ/ton) Attained GFI (gCO2eq/MJ)
VLSFO 481 40200 40200
B30 740 39390 70.63
B100 1143 37500 8.3

The Marginal Abatement Cost (MAC), which represents the cost of reducing one additional tonne of CO2eq, is calculated based on the following formula:

MAC=GHG Emission Reduction / Fuel Price Difference

Applying this formula, the MAC for each fuel type is as follows:

· B100: 212 USD/tCO2eq

· B30: 274 USD/tCO2eq

Since the MAC for B100 is lower than that for B30, this analysis will use B100 as the primary example to illustrate the economic viability of meeting compliance targets.

Total compliace cost(USD/ton HFO eq)

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Cost Analysis Results

· The MAC for B100 is 212 USD/tCO2eq, which can be more economical than paying the Tier 2 compliance cost of 380 USD/tCO2eq. However, in the Tier 1 range, where the compliance cost is 100 USD/tCO2eq, the cost advantage of B100 may be limited, highlighting the importance of careful strategic planning.

· In the absence of SU trading benefits and IMO rewards for ZNZ fuels, the scenario in which the Base Target is met using “HFO + B100” (purple) may be more favorable than the scenario in which the Direct Compliance Target is met using the same “HFO + B100” combination (blue). (Note: This comparison does not take into account any ZNZ fuel rewards.)

· The total compliance cost, including fuel costs, can vary significantly depending on the market price of SUs. For example, if the SU price is USD 250 (red) versus USD 380 (blue), the overall cost structure changes. In general, vessels that exceed the Base Target are likely to choose to buy carbon credits at lower market prices (e.g., USD 250) rather than pay the maximum 380 USD/tCO2eq compliance fee.


However, it is important to note that this analysis does not yet account for potential rewards for Zero or Near-Zero (ZNZ) fuels, which the IMO is expected to finalize by March 1, 2027. The level of these rewards could significantly impact the cost-effectiveness of exceeding the Direct Compliance Target, making it a critical factor in future compliance strategies.


Need for Comprehensive Response Strategies and Long-Term R&D Planning

The IMO’s Net-Zero Framework represents more than a regulatory mechanism; it marks a critical turning point that demands a structural transformation of the shipping industry. The dual-target system—comprising the Base Target and the more ambitious Direct Compliance Target—goes beyond simple emission reduction. It compels long-term competitiveness through investments in new technologies and fuel transitions. The framework is designed to enhance vessel energy efficiency and promote the shift toward fuels with lower GHG intensity.

In response, shipping companies should establish comprehensive strategies that consider not only short-term cost burdens but also the evolving long-term regulatory landscape. In addition to the IMO’s mid-term measures, the proliferation of regional regulations—such as the EU’s FuelEU Maritime and Emissions Trading System (ETS)—further intensifies compliance pressures. Moreover, individual countries are increasingly likely to introduce similar domestic legislation. Within this multi-layered regulatory environment, older, fuel-intensive vessels face a heightened risk of being phased out of the market.

To ensure long-term sustainability, shipping companies should develop mid- to long-term plans that strategically integrate key elements: securing the supply of sustainable and renewable fuels, expanding the adoption of green technologies, establishing digital-based systems to monitor vessel-specific GHG intensity, and formulating financial strategies grounded in these efforts.

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Response to Global Greenhouse Gas Emission Regulations: Strategic Choices and Future Prospects of Ship Energy-Saving Technologies

PARK Hyunsuk Senior Surveyor of KR Green Ship Technology Team

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Current climate change is progressing much more rapidly than previously predicted by the international community, affecting various industries worldwide. The maritime industry, in particular, is undergoing significant changes to meet the growing societal demand for decarbonization. As a result, international regulations on greenhouse gas emissions and air pollutants are tightening, with active discussions focused on the development of eco-friendly ship design technologies, the establishment of integrated digital platforms to enhance operational efficiency, and the use of alternative eco-friendly fuels.

Recently, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) announced a firm target to achieve 'Net-Zero' greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 for the international shipping sector. This sets an important benchmark for the sustainable development of the shipping industry and indicates that international carbon emission regulations will likely become even stricter in the future. These changes provide shipping companies with the opportunity to reconsider their existing operational practices and adopt new technologies.

Additionally, as part of the outcome of the 83rd MEPC session in April 2025, the IMO adopted the 'Greenhouse Gas Fuel Intensity (GHG Fuel Intensity, GFI)' regulation as a mid-term measure for greenhouse gas reduction. This provides shipping companies with the opportunity to devise swift and effective responses. At the same time, there is a deep focus on introducing energy-saving technologies that improve actual fuel efficiency during operation. While there is an extensive range of vessel energy-saving technologies currently in development, the practical response strategies to regulatory frameworks like EEDI (Applicable to new ships) and EEXI (Applicable to existing ships), enforced by the MEPC for international navigational vessels, remain quite limited. These technologies are outlined in MEPC.1/Circ.896, and shipping companies need to consider various constraints when applying them to their fleets.

This article aims to provide useful information that can help shipping companies strategically adopt energy-saving technologies to achieve successful outcomes. It will present valuable insights from various perspectives, including the types of energy-saving technologies, energy-saving mechanisms, the effectiveness of responding to greenhouse gas regulations through technology , and future economic viability projections.

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Categorization of Energy-Saving Technologies under MEPC

At its 77th session in November 2021, the MEPC approved the 2021 Guidelines (“2021 Guidance on Treatment of Innovative Energy Efficiency Technologies for Calculation and Verification of the attained EEDI and EEXI”) for the calculation and verification of the attained values for EEDI/EEXI. Consequently, the MEPC distributed document MEPC.1/Circ.896 to the administrations of member states, industry stakeholders, relevant shipping organizations, shipping companies, and other interested parties.

Categories of Energy Efficiency Technologies according to MEPC.1/Circ.896

Innovative Energy Efficiency Technologies
Reduction of Main Engine Power Reduction of Auxiliary Power
Category A Category B-1 Category B-2 Category C-1 Category C-2
Cannot be separated from overall performance of the vessel Can be treated separately from the overall performance of the vessel Effective at all time Depending on ambient environment
feff = 1 feff < 1 feff = 1 feff < 1
· Low Friction Coating
· Bare Optimization
· Rudder Resistance
· Propeller Design
Hull Air Lubrication System
(Air Cavity Via Air Injection to Reduce Ship Resistance)
(can be Switched Off)
Wind Assistance
(Sails, Flettner-Rotors, Kites)
Waste Heat Recovery System
(Exhaust Gas Heat Recovery and Conversion to Electric Power)
Photovoltaic Cells

The major roles of the innovative energy-saving technologies categorized under MEPC.1/Circ.896 for the calculation of EEDI/EEXI are summarized as follows:

· Category A: Technologies that shift the power-speed curve, altering the combination of propulsion power (Pp) and
reference speed (Vref)

-This category primarily includes Propulsion Improvement Devices (PID), which achieve energy savings mainly through flow control. It also encompasses technologies that directly reduce viscous resistance, such as fins, low-friction coatings, and air resistance reduction techniques through superstructure optimization

· Category B: Technologies that reduce Pp at a fixed Vref without generating electricity
-Category B-1: Technologies that can be used regardless of weather conditions during vessel operation, with an availability factor (feff) set at 1.0 (applicable at all times)
-Category B-2: Technologies that can only be utilized at maximum output under limited wind conditions, with the availability factor (feff) applied at less than 1.0 (weather-dependent)

· Category C: Technologies that generate electricity, reducing energy consumption from auxiliary engines, with the reduced energy being calculated independently.
-Category C-1: Technologies that can be used regardless of weather conditions during vessel operation, with an availability factor (feff) set at 1.0 (applicable at all times)
-Category C-2: Technologies that can only be utilized at maximum output under limited conditions (e.g., sunlight), with the availability factor (feff) applied at less than 1.0 (weather-dependent)

Energy-saving technologies classified as PID (Propulsion Improvement Device) in Category A can be further categorized based on their installation location. They can be classified into: energy-saving technologies installed forward of the propeller (Pre-EET), high-efficiency propellers, and energy-saving technologies installed aft of the propeller (Post-EET).

The Principal Concepts and Mechanisms of Representative Energy Efficiency
Technologies as Categorized in MEPC.1/Circ.896

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Energy-Saving Technologies and EEDI/EEXI

The IMO agreed to distribute MEPC.1/Circ.815 (“2021 Guidance on Treatment of Innovative Energy Efficiency Technologies for Calculation and Verification of the attained EEDI”) through the MEPC 65th session (2013).

Subsequently, prior to the enforcement of the Energy Efficiency Existing Ship Index (EEXI), which became effective on January 1, 2023, as a short-term measure to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from existing vessels, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) amended MEPC.1/Circ.815 during the 77th session of the Marine Environment Protection Committee (MEPC 77th, 2021) to include provisions related to EEXI. Additionally, IMO distributed MEPC.1/Circ.896 (“2021 Guidance on Treatment of Innovative Energy Efficiency Technologies for Calculation and Verification of the Attained Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI) and EEXI”) to member states and stakeholders to facilitate implementation.

For the EEDI, to apply energy-saving technologies and obtain approval from a Recognized Organization (RO), the guidelines of IACS Procedural Requirement No.38-Rev.4 must be followed. This requirement details the procedures for all activities in which the classification society is involved during the inspection and certification of EEDI, as per the regulations 5, 6, 7, 8, and 9 of MARPOL Annex VI. Conversely, it is important to note that the application of EEXI is governed differently by Resolution MEPC.335(76), MEPC.350(78), MEPC.351(78), IACS Recommendation No.172-Rev.1 (revised in April 2024), and IACS Recommendation No.173.

EEDI/EEXI Calculation Formula Referred to Resolution MEPC.333(76)

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Considerations for the Adoption of Category A Technologies

·Impact on EEDI/EEXI

Energy-saving technologies falling under Category A primarily refer to those that reduce the vessel's resistance or improve propulsion efficiency, thereby increasing the reference speed (Vref) from the power (PME) set by EEDI/EEXI regulations.

These technologies theoretically reduce the actual fuel consumption based on the power reduction derived from model tests, sea trials, or Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD). However, the calculation of the attained EEDI/EEXI is based on a predefined formula that incorporates power (PME) and the increased reference speed (Vref). As a result, the power reduction effect of energy-saving technologies is not directly reflected in the improvements of the attained EEDI/EEXI, which is a limitation. Generally, the reference speed (Vref) is approximated to be proportional to the cube root of power. For example, if Category A energy-saving technologies are applied to reduce the brake power by 5% on a vessel, the theoretical improvement effect on the attained EEDI/EEXI may be calculated to be approximately 1.7%.

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※ The combination of PME/PPIT as reflected in the speed power curve



· Technical/Economic Considerations

The figure below briefly illustrates the principles and energy-saving mechanisms of the representative Propulsion Improvement Device (PID) energy-saving technologies that shipping companies most commonly selected during recent voluntary re-verifications of EEXI.

Notably, the technologies most commonly selected by shipping companies during recent retrofits for various vessel types, including Bulk Carriers, Tankers, LNG Carriers, and Container Carriers, are as follows: (A1) Vortex Generating Fins, (A2) Duct with Fins/Pre-swirling Stators, (A3) Hub with Fins, (A4) Twisted Rudder with Bulb, and (A5) Wind/Air Resistance Reduction Cap (primarily applied to Container Carriers).

The anticipated approximate power savings (%), EEXI improvement (%), CAPEX (USD), and retrofit duration (from design to installation) for each individual technology are estimated and illustrated in the following figure. Furthermore, the projected overall power reduction and EEXI enhancement when integrating the energy efficiency technologies corresponding to (A1) + (A2) + (A3) + (A4) across four representative vessels are also depicted.

The Principal Concepts and Mechanisms of Representative PID-type
Energy-Saving Technologies

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It is important to recognize that the specific numerical values are inherently variable, depending on the actual ship speed-power curve characteristics and the manufacturer of the energy-saving technologies. Analysis of the trend indicates that lower-speed, fuller vessels tend to realize greater power savings from energy efficiency measures, while, conversely, the effects diminish for high-speed, slender, and longer ships.


Considerations for the Adoption of Category B Technologies

· Impact on EEDI/EEXI

Energy-saving technologies that fall under Category B are positioned as independent terms on the far-right side of the numerator in the EEDI/EEXI calculation formula, as can be observed below.

The technology serves to reduce the vessel's fuel consumption based on the following principles and energy-saving mechanisms.

The Independent Term Influenced by Energy-Saving
Technologies of the Category B in the EEDI/EEXI Formula

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Energy Saving Method of Category B

Category Principal Mechanism Technique Methodology
B-1 Direct Drag Reduction Frictional Resistance Reduce Shear Force · Air Lubrication System
B-2 Use of Renewable Energy Wind Energy Additional Thrust · Flettner rotor
· Sails
· Kite

In contrast to energy-saving technologies categorized under Category A, the reductions in main engine power attributable to the air lubrication system (B-1) and wind-assisted propulsion system (B-2), as specified in the guidelines of MEPC.1/Circ.896, can be directly integrated into the respective separate components in the numerator of the EEDI/EEXI calculation. This method ensures that the estimated reduction in main engine power accurately corresponds to the actual improvement in EEDI/EEXI, thereby providing a precise representation of these technologies' effectiveness.

The air lubrication system (B-1) is typically applied to vessels with a flat hull bottom and low draft (e.g., large container ships, LNG carriers). This is advantageous as the flat bottom helps maintain an air lubrication layer formed by fine air bubbles injected from the compressor at high pressure. Additionally, a lower draft allows for a reduction in the capacity of the air compressor, leading to greater net fuel savings (the figure representing fuel savings from the main engine due to the air lubrication system is calculated excluding the fuel consumption of the auxiliary engine that drives the air lubrication system).

Wind-assisted propulsion systems (B-2), such as Flettner Rotors and Sails, utilize wind energy as a renewable resource to achieve energy savings. These systems are primarily applied to vessels with simple superstructure geometries and smaller surface areas, such as bulk carriers and tankers. They function by converting aerodynamic forces from the wind into auxiliary propulsion, thereby reducing fuel consumption of the main engine. The anticipated fuel savings from main engine reductions through both B-1 and B-2 systems are approximately 5–9%. As a result, these systems are garnering attention as an effective and prominent strategy within the current newbuilding market for meeting EEDI Phase III requirements.

SAVER Air, B-2*

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Flettner rotor, B-2*

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*2024 Responding to IMO GHG Regulations: A Selection Guide to Ship Energy Efficiency Technologies, KR-RND-DECB-INF-007



· Technical/Economic Considerations

For vessel types such as bulk carriers, tankers, LNG carriers, and container carriers, the approximate expected power savings (%), EEDI/EEXI improvement effects (%), CAPEX (USD), and retrofit duration (from design to installation) when applying the Air Lubrication System (B1) and Flettner Rotor(s) (B2) technologies have been assessed, as these technologies have been frequently selected by shipping companies in recent newbuilding or retrofit projects. However, it is important to note that specific figures may vary based on actual operating conditions and the manufacturers involved.

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Considerations for the Adoption of Category C Technologies

Energy-saving technologies in Category C refer to innovative systems capable of generating electricity, which the vessel's generators are responsible for supplying. In the EEDI/EEXI calculation formula.

The independent term influenced by Energy-Saving technologies of the
Category C in the EEDI/EEXI formula

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These technologies are represented as independent terms in the numerator and serve to reduce the vessel's fuel consumption based on the following principles and energy-saving mechanisms.

Energy saving method of Category C

Category Principal Mechanism Technique Methodology
C-1 Waste Heat Recovery Exhaust Gas Electricity Generation · Waste Heat Recovery System
C-2 Use of Renewable Energy Solar Energy Electricity Generation · Photovoltaic Panels

Energy-saving technologies classified under Category C can determine their power generation in accordance with the guidelines of MEPC.1/Circ.896 and incorporate this value into a separate term in the numerator of the EEDI/EEXI calculation formula. This effectively allows the technology to be reflected as a direct reduction in auxiliary engine power, thereby providing the advantage of accurately capturing the power-saving effects in EEDI/EEXI improvements, similar to the approach used for technologies classified under Category B.

The waste heat recovery system (C-1) and solar cells (C-2) are known to have significantly high capital expenditures (CAPEX), with the market indicating that the CAPEX for the waste heat recovery system accounts for approximately 10% of the newbuilding costs. However, both C-1 and C-2 have seen very few applications on large vessels, leading some stakeholders to raise concerns about economic viability and operational safety issues.

Despite these challenges, technologies within Category C hold significant potential to enhance the overall energy efficiency of vessel operations. As the shipbuilding industry continues to evolve and regulatory pressures for decarbonization from the IMO increase, advancements in waste heat recovery and solar technology could provide substantial long-term savings for shipping companies. Furthermore, ongoing research and development efforts may address current limitations, ultimately improving both the operational feasibility and economic justification for broader adoption in the maritime sector.

Schematic diagram of WHR system, C-1*

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Photovoltaic cells, C-2

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*R.Leloup,K.Roncin,M.Behrel,G.Bles,J.-B.Leroux,C.Jochum,Y.Parlier, 2015, A continuous and analytical modeling for kites as auxiliary propulsion devoted to merchant ships, including fuel saving estimation, Renewable Energy Volume 86, February 2016, Pages 483-496


Energy-Saving Technologies and CII

The Carbon Intensity Indicator (CII) is a short-term measure implemented by the IMO to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from existing ships, complementing the EEXI as a technical measure. Following the approval of amendments to MARPOL Annex VI at MEPC 75th session, the final amendments including technical guidelines were adopted at MEPC 76th session, establishing both EEXI and CII as mandatory requirements effective from January 1, 2023.

The technical guidelines and key considerations established to facilitate the effective implementation of CII, adopted during the 76th and 78th sessions of the MEPC, are summarized as follows:

· Resolution MEPC.336(76)
CII Reference Lines Guidelines (G1) → Application and calculation methods for individual vessels' attained CII (AER or cgDIST)

· Resolution MEPC.337(76)
CII Reference Lines Guidelines (G2) → Methods for establishing reference line calculations and reference line calculations by vessel type

· Resolution MEPC.338(76)
CII Reduction Factor Guidelines (G3) → Methods for determining CII reduction factors and reduction rates for 2023~2030

· Resolution MEPC.339(76)
CII Rating Guidelines (G4) → Methods for assigning CII ratings to existing vessels

· Resolution MEPC.355(78):
Guidelines for CII Correction Factors and Voyage Adjustments for CII Calculations (G5) → Methods for applying specific correction factors (such as cargo retention, handling systems, etc.) and voyage exclusions (navigating in ice-covered areas, severe sea conditions, or long-term anchorage for safety reasons) in the determination of the attained CII.

These technical guidelines are set to be revised after decisions or agreements reached at the MEPC 83rd session, with most revisions expected to take place after 2026.

· Determined CII reduction rates for 2027~2030 through the MEPC 83rd session

Year 2027 2028 2029 2030
Reduction Rate
Compared to 2019 (%)
13.625 16.25 18.875 21.5

· Fuel consumption during port waiting time and idle time is usually incurred regardless of the owner's intent, so it has been agreed to exclude the fuel consumption used while at anchor from the calculation of the attained CII and the CII reference lines.

· It has been agreed to further discuss the review of IMO DCS data, the review of CII indicator units (the scope of fuel consumption excluding anchoring, port waiting, and docking), the recalculation of reference lines (amendment of Guidelines G2), and the potential for amendments to other IMO documents in the second phase review to be conducted after 2026.


·CII Calculation and Rating Assessment


Calculation of Attained CII

It is predicted that the timing for implementing the agreed amendments related to CII through the MEPC 83rd session (2025) will be reflected after the second phase review to be conducted after 2026, with revisions to G1~G5 guidelines. However, to date, the attained CII has been calculated based on the guidelines established by MEPC 76th session (2021) and the existing IMO DCS data collection format. The calculation formula is as follows:

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When calculating the attained CII using the vessel's capacity based on deadweight (DWT), it is referred to as AER. When calculated using gross tonnage (GT), it is referred to as cgDIST.


Calculation of Required Annual Operational CII

To calculate the required annual operational CII, the reference CII for the target vessel must be calculated first, and the formula for determining the reference CII is as follows:

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Here, “a” and “c” are parameters derived from the attained CII and the capacities of individual vessels based on the IMO DCS statistics data collected in 2019, with values categorized by vessel type and size as follows:

Parameters for Deriving Baseline by Ship Type

Ship type Capacity a c
Bulk Carrier 279,000 DWT and above 279,000 4745 0.622
Less than 279,000 DWT DWT 4745 0.622
Gas Carrier 65,000 DWT and above DWT 1440X107 2.071
Less than 65,000 DWT DWT 8104 0.639
Tanker DWT 5247 0.610
Container Ship DWT 1984 0.489
General Cargo Ship 20,000 DWT and above DWT 31948 0.792
Less than 20,000 DWT DWT 588 0.389
Refrigerated Cargo Carrier DWT 4600 0.557
Combination Carrier DWT 40853 0.812
LNG Carrier 100,000 DWT and above DWT 9.827 0.000
65,000 DWT and above, but
less than 100,000 DWT
DWT 14479X1010 2.673
Less than 65,000 DWT 65,000 14479X1010 2.673
Ro-Ro Cargo Ship
(Vehicle Carrier)
57,700 GT and above 57,700 3627 0.590
30,000 GT and above, but
less than 57,700GT
GT 3627 0.590
Less than 30,000GT GT 330 0.329
Ro-RO Cargo Ship GT 1967 0.485
Ro-Ro Passenger Ship Ro-Ro Passenger Ship GT 2023 0.460
High-speed craft designed to
SOLAS chapter X
GT 4196 0.460
Cruise Passenger Ship GT 930 0.383

Once the reference CII is determined, the required annual operational CII is calculated by finally incorporating the reduction rate (G3) as follows:

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“Z” is the annual CII reduction factor compared to the 2019 baseline, applied uniformly to all vessels regardless of type and size. The finally confirmed reduction rates for the period from 2023 to 2030 at the MEPC 83rd session are as follows:

Confirmed reduction rate compared to the 2019 baseline

Year '23 '24 '25 '26 '27 '28 '29 '30
Reduction rate
compared to 2019
5.00% 7.00% 9.00% 11.00% 13.625% 16.25% 18.875% 21.50%
Determination of CII Ratings

CII ratings range from A to E, with a total of five categories, and the boundary for each rating is determined based on the required CII as follows:

Boundary and Calculation Method for Deriving CII Rating

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“exp(dx)” represents the exponent of the dd vector, indicating the direction and distance from the required CII, with the values categorized by vessel type and size as follows:

“dd” Vectors by Ship Type for Calculation of CII Rating

Ship Type Capacity dd vectors
exp (dexp(d1)) exp (dexp(d2)) exp (dexp(d3)) exp(dexp(d4))
Bulk Carrier DWT 0.86 0.94 1.06 1.18
Gas Carrier 65,000 DWT and above DWT 0.81 0.91 1.12 1.44
Less than 65,000 0.85 0.95 1.06 1.25
Tanker DWT 0.82 0.93 1.08 1.28
Container Ship DWT 0.83 0.94 1.06 1.19
General Cargo Ship DWT 0.83 0.94 1.06 1.19
Refrigerated Cargo Ship DWT 0.78 0.91 1.07 1.20
Combination Carrier DWT 0.87 0.96 1.06 1.14
LNG Carrier 100,000 DWT and above DWT 0.89 0.98 1.06 1.13
Less than 100,000 DWT 0.78 0.92 1.10 1.37
Ro-Ro Cargo Ship(Vehicle Carrier) GT 0.86 0.94 1.06 1.16
Ro-Ro Cargo Ship DWT 0.66 0.90 1.11 1.37
Ro-Ro Passenger Ship GT 0.72 0.90 1.12 1.41
Cruise Passenger Ship GT 0.87 0.95 1.06 1.16
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· Limitations of Energy Savings Technology: A Comprehensive Approach is Needed for CII Improvement

Recently, shipping companies have adopted slow steaming strategies based on engine power (or shaft power) limitations as the most practical and cost-effective means of complying with the EEXI and CII regulations for existing vessels. The figure below presents two years of recorded IMO DCS data collected from the same vessel (with the same EEXI) operating on identical routes, illustrating the effectiveness of slow steaming in enhancing the attained CII.

Comparison of 2 Years of Voyage Data for the Same Vessel

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Representative Fuel Saving Method in Ship Operation

Year Total Sailing(day) Berthing or Anchoring(day) Sailing(day) Avg. Speed(knots) Total Distance Travelled(nm) CO2 Emissions(ton) Attained CII
2019 325 71 254 14.78 94,820 26,310 9.66
2020 329 72 257 13.80 91,470 22,780 8.59
Difference [%] +1.2 +1.4 +1.2 -6.6 -3.5 -13.5 -11.1

However, limiting engine power (or shaft power) faces several challenges, including reduced speed under charter agreements, a consequent decrease in competitiveness in the charter market, and inherent limitations that may not be sustainable in light of the anticipated strengthening of international greenhouse gas emission regulations. Therefore, shipping companies may consider adopting energy-saving technologies as a cost-effective short-term alternative, serving as another technical measure to address international greenhouse gas emission regulations.

Historical cases of EEDI/EEXI approval demonstrate that energy-saving technologies can directly reduce a vessel's resistance and propulsion losses through various methods, including simple appendage-type devices or more complex electric control systems. Additionally, these technologies can leverage renewable energy sources like wind to generate additional thrust, thereby decreasing the vessel's fuel consumption (CO2 emissions) and garnering attention as effective responses to technical regulations such as EEDI/EEXI.

In contrast, CII is determined based on various data collected from the actual annual operations of existing vessels, unlike EEDI/EEXI. To improve the attained values and ratings of CII, it is necessary to integrate optimal operational strategies and appropriate maintenance methods alongside design-oriented responses like energy-saving technologies. Therefore, a comprehensive effort is required to minimize fuel consumption (CO2 emissions) as measured and reported within the IMO DCS framework by utilizing all these approaches.

Principal Mechanism Technique Methodology
Operation Optimization in Operation ICT Weather routing
Slow steaming
Aging Maintenance Docking
Roughness treatment

For example, as illustrated in the previous figure, even when the same energy-saving technology is implemented and the vessel has attained the same EEXI, it can be observed that the attained CII significantly decreased in 2020 compared to 2019. The primary reason is that while the number of operational days and mooring periods were similar in both periods, the total operational distance in 2020 was reduced by approximately 3.5% due to slow steaming, while the total fuel consumption (CO2 emissions) decreased by about 6.6%.

As shown in this case, to reduce the fuel consumption (CO2 emissions) measured within the IMO DCS framework, a thorough analysis of the vessel's historical operational pattern data must precede. Additionally, effective data analysis requires systematic collection of external environmental data, including the vessel’s mechanical operating state, weather, and sea state. This underscores the necessity for a comprehensive measurement and monitoring system (smart platform) capable of managing this data.

Such a measurement system must be able to record real-time changes in the mechanical states of the vessel, including environmental factors that significantly affect the vessel's resistance characteristics, such as wind, waves, and currents during actual operations, as well as parameters like draft, trim, main engine output, RPM, and speed. Based on this information, shipping companies will be able to accurately diagnose the necessary measures to improve the targeted CII rating (e.g., operational aspects, design-oriented aspects like the introduction of energy-saving technologies, and maintenance aspects), which will be an indispensable prerequisite for establishing customized CII response strategies.

Respond ways to IMO GHG emissions regulations

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The Role of Energy-Saving Technologies in Response to Greenhouse Gas Fuel Intensity (GFI)

One of the critical issues in the international community's response to greenhouse gas regulations is the transition from fossil fuels to low carbon fuels for shipping. This transition to low carbon fuels is expected to gain momentum after the implementation of the IMO’s mid-term measures in 2027.

The GFI regulation, which is a key component of the IMO's mid-term measures aimed at reducing greenhouse gases and approved during the 83rd MEPC session (April 2025), is set to be newly added to the MARPOL Annex VI amendment. It is scheduled to be adopted during the special session of the MEPC set for October 2025 and will enter into force internationally on March 1, 2027.

Additionally, the MEPC 83 session agreed to hold an Inter-Session Working Group (ISWG) meeting immediately after the special session and just before the 84th MEPC session to develop various guidelines to support the implementation of the IMO’s mid-term measures (including calculation guidelines for attained GFI determination, compliance measures, and guidelines for compensating ships using Zero or Near-Zero fuels or technologies).

The main elements* of the Greenhouse Gas Fuel Intensity (GFI) regulation are outlined below:

* KR IMO News Flash (MEPC 83)


| Regulations | Applicability
New chapter 5 of MARPOL Annex VI (IMO GHG mid-term measures) shall apply to all ships of 5,000 gross tonnage and above, same as the current IMO DCS reporting framework
| Regulations | Application date of GHG Fuel Intensity, GFI

While IMO mid-term measures will enter into force on 1 March 2027, given that the attained GFI could only be calculated using data from the full preceding calendar year (1 January to 31 December), all applicable ships shall collect GFI data starting from 1 January 2028 and report the relevant data to the Administration or RO for GFI verification in early 2029

| Regulations |Attained GFI Calculation Methodology
Calculation of GFI based on Well-to-Wake(WtW) GHG emissions of marine fuels

The formula below calculates the average GHG intensity of all energy and fuels used by a ship. It multiplies the GHG intensity (EI) of each energy source by the energy used (Energy), sums the results, and divides by the total energy consumption (Energytotal) to obtain the attained GFI value. A lower value indicates more environmentally friendly energy usage

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| Regulations | Target Annual GHG Fuel Intensity

Target GHG fuel intensity (GFI) starts at 93.3 gCO2eq/MJ, representing the average GFI of international shipping in the year 2008

Target annual GFI consists of two tiers: a Base Target annual GFI (Base Target) and Direct Compliance Target annual GFI (Direct Compliance Target)

Base Targets and Direct Compliance Targets are as follows:

Year Reduction Rate for Base Target(%) Reduction Rate for Direct Compliance Target(%)
2028 4.0 17.0
2029 6.0 19.0
2030 8.0 21.0
2031 12.4 25.4
2032 16.8 29.8
2033 21.2 34.2
2034 25.6 38.6
2035 30.0 43.0

The determined Basic Targets and Direct Targets are utilized for the classification of “Tier 1” and “Tier 2” based on the GHG emissions from individual ships, as mentioned in the “Compliance Approaches” section as below

While the Basic Targets and Direct Targets for the years 2036 to 2040 will be determined by 1 January 2032, Basic Target for the year 2040 shall be set at 65%

| Regulations |Compliance Approaches

To comply with the GFI requirements, ships may trade GHG emissions among themselves. Ships that are unable to meet the GFI target may offset their excess emissions by purchasing Surplus Units from ships using low-emission fuels or by purchasing Remedial Units at a predetermined price through a registry

The following approaches are provided to comply with the GFI requirements:

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- Ships with an attained GFI falling within Tier I must offset their emissions exceeding the Direct Target by purchasing Remedial Units (USD 100 per GHG tonne) from the registry. In this case, purchasing Surplus Units from ships using low-emission fuels is impossible.
- Ships with an attained GFI falling within Tier II must offset their emissions exceeding the Base Target by purchasing, in addition to the Tier I amount, Surplus Units at market price from ships using low-GHG fuels or by purchasing Remedial Units (USD 380 per GHG tonne) from the registry.
- Ships using low-GHG fuels (where attained GFI falls outside Tier I and Tier II) will generate Surplus Units and sell them to ships that fail to meet the Base Target, thereby creating a revenue-generating opportunity. In addition, ships employing Zero or Near-Zero GHG fuels and technologies are eligible for incentive benefits.

| Regulations |Uptake of Zero or Near-Zero GHG Emission Technologies, Fuels and Energy Sources

Zero or Near-Zero GHG emission technologies, fuels and/or energy sources should meet the following criteria, and ships utilizing such fuels and technologies with GHG emissions below the specified thresholds may qualify for incentives.

Year Until 2034 From 2035 onward
WtW GFI (gCO2eq/MJ) 19.0 14.0

The details of ZNZ energy sources and technologies, along with the corresponding compensation amounts, will be reviewed every five years and shall comply with the requirements set forth in the guidelines to be developed in the future.

| Regulations |Disbursement of Revenue

The fund generated from the IMO mid-term measures will be utilized for various purposes, including providing incentives for alternative-Fuel ships, developing infrastructure for alternative fuel supply in developing country ports, supporting GHG-vulnerable countries such as small island developing states (SIDS) and administrative expenses, etc.

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· Future Impact of Energy-Saving Technologies: Increase vs. Decrease

To predict the future impact of energy-saving technologies (mainly payback time predictions), the representative fuel types considered include HFO, LNG, LPG, Bio-Diesel, Bio-Methanol, and e-Ammonia, based on the 2025 Clarkson Research order book* for dual-fuel vessels as of February 2025.

*Clarkson Research Feb. 2025.

Proportion of Alternative Fuels

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2025 Order Book

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Prior to the recent finalization of IMO's GFI regulation, shipping companies generally believed that operational expenditure (OPEX) would increase proportionally with the price of bunkered fuels, especially when using expensive, low carbon fuels. They also theorized that deploying energy-saving technologies would result in the shortest payback period for capital expenditure (CAPEX) when operating with the most costly fuels.

However, when considering IMO’s mid-term greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction measure, specifically the GHG Fuel Intensity (GFI), forecasts of the annual 'net OPEX' defined as the sum of annual fuel costs and GFI compliance costs, or minus the revenue from selling surplus units achieved by exceeding the annual GFI reduction targets along with various analysis results that incorporate these assumptions, generally challenged this previously held view among shipping companies.

The assumptions used to predict the timing of investment cost recovery (payback time) related to the adoption of energy-saving technologies are outlined as follows:

HFO (HSHFO) consumption assumed at 12,820 MT annually (515,364,000 MJ), operating on non-EU routes.

OPEX forecasts by fuel type are based on the Clarkson Research order book[4] for dual-fuel vessels released in 2025.

GFI cost calculations: reflecting results from the 83rd MEPC.

Information on 'Initial Default Emission Factors per Fuel Pathway Code' necessary for GFI calculations of fuel types not included in the 2024 IMO LCA Guideline is referenced from FuelEU Maritime.

OPEX considers only annual fuel consumption (Fuel Costs) and GFI impact.

Types of energy-saving technologies applied: (A2)+(A3), (B1), (B2)

Types of vessels to which energy-saving technologies ((A2)+(A3), (B1), (B2)) are applied: Bulk Carrier, Tanker, LNG Carrier, Container Carrier.

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‘Energy-saving technologies' CAPEX is as follows (to be implemented in 2027):

Technology CAPEX (USD) Remark
(A2) Duct with Fins/Pre-swirl Stators + (A3) Hub with Fins (Category A) 0.90 M Installation in 2027
(B1) Air Lubrication System (Category B-1) 3.75 M
(B2) Wind Assisted Propulsion System (Category B-2) 5.00 M


The figure below illustrates the annual OPEX predictions by fuel type based on the forecasted bunker prices of fuels, excluding the consideration of GFI(GHG Fuel Intensity).

Estimated OPEX for Annual Voyages by Fuel Type(GFI Excluded)

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As illustrated in the figure above, when ships use eco-friendly fuels, bunker costs are expected to be higher due to increased production and supply expenses, primarily resulting from a lack of infrastructure. Consequently, the annual operational expenditure (OPEX) considering only fuel costs for vessels using eco-friendly fuels tends to be approximately 4 to 5 times higher than that for vessels using fossil fuels. However, with the enforcement of GFI regulations, the annual ‘net OPEX’ (as defined in the previous paragraph) including fuel-specific GFI compliance costs—is expected to vary significantly depending on the type of fuel used. Accordingly, ‘net OPEX’ for each fuel type was forecasted under the GFI regulation.

The subsequent figures show that over time, the ‘net OPEX’ of both fossil and eco-friendly fuels gradually converges. This can be interpreted as, while the costs for fossil fuels increase over time due to stricter GFI annual reduction rates, the revenue from selling surplus units arising from exceeding GFI direct compliance targets for eco-friendly fuels substantially offsets the initial (2028) differences in ‘net OPEX’ between the two fuel types.

In the following results, the GFI compliance costs for fossil fuels are calculated in accordance with GFI regulations, assuming surplus units are sold at a market price of $380 per tonne.

Estimated Net OPEX for Annual Voyages by Fuel Type(GFI Included)

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Forecasting CAPEX Payback Time for
'Energy-Saving Technologies:(A2)+(A3)'by Vessel Type and Fuel Type

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Assuming that the energy-saving combination of '(A2) + (A3)' under Category A is installed by 2027, the previously determined four representative vessel types were analyzed to forecast the payback period of CAPEX for '(A2) + (A3)' based on different fuel types. The results are summarized as follows:

First, the energy-saving performance of '(A2) + (A3)' was found to be similarly effective in both bulk carriers and tankers, with container carriers and LNG carriers following in effectiveness.

Second, based on the predicted ‘net OPEX’ for each fuel type, the payback period for CAPEX on '(A2) + (A3)' was estimated. Notably, on bulk carriers using e-Ammonia considered a future eco-friendly fuel with the highest bunker cost the payback period is projected to be approximately one year around 2028.

An additional noteworthy finding is that even for bulk carriers and tankers powered by fossil fuels, the CAPEX payback period for '(A2) + (A3)' remains relatively short, at approximately two to three years. Other vessel types also exhibited payback periods of up to approximately four to seven years, which can be considered relatively short.

These results suggest promising prospects for shipowners considering the adoption of '(A2) + (A3)' energy-saving technologies in the near future, especially given the favorable payback periods.

Forecasting CAPEX Payback Time for
'(B2):Wind Assisted Propulsion System(B-2)' by Vessel Type and Fuel Type

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Forecasting CAPEX Payback Time for
'(B1):Air Lubrication System(B-1)' by Vessel Type and Fuel Type

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Assuming that energy-saving technologies corresponding to Category B, namely (B1) and (B2), will be installed by 2027, the analysis results for the expected CAPEX payback periods specifically for (B1) and (B2) when applied to the four previously selected ship types are as follows:

First, the energy-saving performance of (B1) was found to be the best in LNG carriers among the considered ship types, followed by container ships, bulk carriers, and tankers.

Second, the energy-saving performance of (B2) was found to be similar for both bulk carriers and tankers. This analysis was conducted by focusing solely on these two ship types from the four considered earlier. The reason is that (B2) is typically installed on the upper deck, which requires sufficient space on the upper deck of the target ship type to achieve a satisfactory energy-saving effect. This is because greater space reduces interaction between superstructures, thereby enhancing the technical and economic feasibility of the installation.

Third, based on the previously predicted six types of fuel-specific annual "net OPEX" (bunker cost + GFI cost), the CAPEX payback period of (B1) was predicted to be the shortest at about five years for LNG carriers using e-Ammonia, which are eco-friendly fuels and have the highest bunker cost.

Fourth, the CAPEX payback period for (B2) was expected to be relatively short, approximately 5.8 years, and this was nearly the same for both bulk carriers and tankers using e-Ammonia. This estimate was based on the assumption that, for (B2), the CAPEX is approximately 1.3 times higher than that of (B1), while the energy-saving effect is predicted to be about 1.2 times greater.

An additional noteworthy point is that the CAPEX payback period for (B1), which demonstrated the greatest energy-saving effect in LNG carriers, shows only a minimal difference when compared to using eco-friendly fuels (Bio-Methanol, e-Ammonia) and fossil fuels (HFO, LNG). This trend primarily arises because, after around 2033, the reduction target rates under GFI regulations increase significantly. Meanwhile, the expected ‘net OPEX’ for fossil fuels is projected to be high due to rising GFI compliance costs, whereas the ‘net OPEX’ for eco-friendly fuels is anticipated to be lower slightly thanks to consistent revenue from surplus unit sales in the shipping market and decreasing future production and bunker costs. Additionally, the gap in CAPEX payback periods of (B1) between fossil and eco-friendly fuels is expected to narrow over time as stricter reduction targets are enforced for both the ‘Basic’ and ‘Direct Compliance’ targets within the GFI regulation. A similar trend is projected for (B2), despite its CAPEX being 1.3 times higher than that of (B1).

However, the predictions of CAPEX payback periods for each ship type, concerning energy-saving technologies categorized as (A) and (B) according to MEPC.1/Circ.896 based on the previously forecasted ‘net OPEX’ of eco-friendly fuels require careful analysis for the following two reasons:

First, the '2024 IMO LCA Guidelines' have not yet established the 'Initial Default Emission Factors' per Fuel Pathway Code, which are required for calculating GFI for fuels such as Bio-Diesel, Bio-Methanol, and e-Ammonia. As a result, the 'Initial Default Emission Factors' for the eco-friendly fuels considered in previous analyses have been referenced from FuelEU Maritime. Since these figures are determined by the EU, their applicability to the calculation of the IMO GHG fuel intensity (GFI attained) has not been verified.

Second, the market selling price for the 'Surplus Units' generated from using Bio-Diesel, Bio-Methanol, and e-Ammonia which was set at $380 per tonne according to GFI regulations in previous analyses is likely to rise further. This directly affects the calculation of the 'net OPEX' for eco-friendly fuels and has a significant impact on the projected CAPEX payback time for the energy-saving technologies previously considered.

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Additionally, the methodology for projecting the payback period of capital expenditures (CAPEX) associated with deploying energy-saving technologies—considering various eco-friendly fuels—should be approached with caution until the '2024 IMO Lifecycle Assessment (LCA) Guidelines' are revised to include 'Initial Default Emission Factors per Fuel Pathway Category' for a range of eco-friendly fuel types, which are essential for accurately calculating the attained GFI.

In conclusion, as GFI was adopted as a mid-term measure to regulate greenhouse gas emissions by IMO at MEPC 83rd session (April 2025), the adoption of the energy-saving technologies discussed earlier will continue to serve as one of the key supporting strategies for shipping companies to meet both short- and mid-term IMO GHG regulations. This is particularly relevant given the current dominance of fossil fuels in the shipping industry sector. Moreover, energy-saving technologies are expected to play a crucial role during the transition from fossil fuels to eco-friendly fuels, aiding in the achievement of IMO’s intermediate targets for 2030/2040 and ultimately facilitating full decarbonization by 2050.

Meanwhile, many experts caution that, even if the maritime sector makes significant progress toward adopting eco-friendly fuels by 2040, fuel prices are likely to remain high due to ongoing infrastructural development and production cost challenges. As a result, energy-saving technologies that can directly reduce fuel consumption during ship operations are expected to gain continued market attention.